In the last four seasons the average points total of League One’s champions is 86.25. Having taken 51 points in 2008, City are well ahead of schedule. Automatic promotion usually requires around 81 points so, statistically, City need another 10 wins from their remaining 23 matches to ensure a return to the Championship. It’s no wonder you can only get 2/9 these days on City to go straight back up. The first opportunity to cut this 10 win target to 9 arrives in the shape of Leyton Orient who just before the New Year slipped into the bottom four for the first time since November.
It would not be fair to say Leicester and Leyton Orient’s campaigns have diverged after City snatched a late win at Brisbane Road (the two sides didn’t exactly mix in the same circles anyway) but Orient’s steady start to 08/09 has gone from bad to worse. The O’s have won just three games in the last 17 and arrive at the Walkers Stadium on the back of five matches without a victory.
Orient have the worst home record in League One and perhaps unsurprisingly have taken more points on their travels. That said, when this record is a rather uninspiring 13 points from 12 games you can hardly expect Nigel Pearson to be having too many sleepless nights over this fixture.
Only Hereford United (17) have scored fewer goals than Orient (18) in League One. Top scorer Adam Boyd (7) has only netted once in the last six games.
Leicester continue to set the standard in League One. The Foxes are undefeated in 10 league matches and have won their last six straight in front of their own fans. Season ticket holders are without doubt getting value for money this year.
City fans looking for a value bet should head for an old favourite. Leicester/Leicester as a double result looks better value than the home win when you consider Orient have conceded 26 goals in the first half this season, but only 12 in the second.
On This Day
Gary Parker’s second half penalty looked to have given the Foxes all three points at Villa Park on this day in 1998. Julian Joachim had other ideas and his 87th minutes equaliser ensured the spoils were shared. Nine of the 20 sides in the Premier League table that day no longer ply their trade in the English football’s top tier.
Leicester – 2/5 (Boylesports)
Draw – 7/2 (Bet365)
Leyton Orient – 8/1 (Bet365)