Mathematical Certainty

There is nothing more pleasing to Foxblogger than an absolute mathematical certainty, so here’s one that should cheer any Leicester fan. With a win on Saturday against Peterborough, Leicester will be guaranteed a place in the play-offs at the end of the season. Should Leicester fail to win they will have to rely on Tranmere Rovers failing to win at Brighton. The play-offs may not be what this season is all about, but it’s another sign that with seven matches still to play Leicester are on the verge of returning to the Championship at the first attempt. Want to know how hard that is? Ask Nottingham Forrest, Sheffield Wednesday and Leeds…

The Week That Was
City once again had to come from behind at home to take points from plucky visitors. It was the sixth time the visiting side had scored first against Nigel Pearson’s side at the Walkers Stadium. Away from home the opposition have scored first on only three occasions.

Perhaps the expectation at home is too high? Or perhaps some teams have some across a useful strategy. The evidence here is mixed. Some teams who have opened up at the Walkers have been destroyed. Huddersfield and Peterborough spring to mind. Yet Swindon and now Colchester have proved in recent weeks that there are points to be gained by playing with a little adventure, instead of just fear, at the Walkers.

Paul Dickov secured a point with his second league goal of the season. Limited playing time has meant Dickov has managed just seven shots in League One this season. Still, five of them have been on target meaning he has a better strike rate than any other player at the club.

The Week Ahead
Much has been made of Peterborough United recent good run, but of the five sides they’ve dispatched in the last few weeks only Scunthorpe Utd could have been expected to put up a fight against genuine promotion challengers.

Posh haven’t been out of the top six in all of 2009. Before Leicester went on their own record breaking 23 match unbeaten run it was the London Road outfit who had the longest unbeaten streak in League One, a very impressive 16 matches. Recently though things are a little more patchy. Since Valentines day Darren Ferguson’s side have won three and lost two at home.

The surprise home defeats to both Yeovil and Southend might have sent the club on course for a mediocre end to the season. Instead it appears to have galvanised the side. Peterborough despatched Northampton Town at home despite playing most of the game with only 10 men. There’s no doubt that this sort of grit will be on display again on Saturday as Peterborough try to get over the 4-0 reverse at the Walkers Stadium from earlier in the season.

With this being a lunchtime encounter it’s time to trot out the numbers for anyone thinking of placing any serious money on a Leicester victory.

Leicester City’s record in matches kicking off before 15:00 since 2002/03
P18 W2 D4 L13 F12 A29

Consider yourselves warned.

On This Day
Tom Dryburgh netter for City after just 10 seconds against Swansea in a 2-1 victory in 1953. It was a club record that would stand for 53 years until Matty Fryatt opened the scoring against Preston North End on 15th April 2006 after just nine seconds.

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