Match Preview – Cardiff City

It’s unsurprising that the main talking point from the weekend for Leicester fans has been City’s failure to take all three points at Coventry. A stream of chances were not converted, and the result leaves the Foxes still looking for their first win ahead of back to back meetings with the Championship’s top two.

City’s lowly league position is false in many ways, not least because the Foxes have created chances. Indeed, their total of 40 shots on target is the highest in the Championship. Leicester’s forwards have been accurate too, 57.97% of their attempts on goal have hit the target. This is the best accuracy rating in the division. But, as I recall writing at a similar stage last season, testing the keeper and beating him are two very different things. What City have failed to manage thus far is to convert anywhere near the amount of scoring opportunities required to put them in the promotion picture.

Of Leicester’s 69 attempts on goal just four have found the net, a chance conversion rate of 5.8%. This does not compare favourably with Cardiff City, who have netted 11 times from 55 attempts, a Championship topping conversion rate of 20%.

More worryingly for City, the Bluebirds have the meanest defence in the league. The Cardiff City backline has been breached just twice. And if City want to take points from Tuesday’s game they will have to start brightly, Cardiff’s second half record reads P5 W5 D0 L0 F7 A0.

Looking at the City ranks it’s clear than for most confidence is not an issue for some. Lloyd Dyer, Steve Howard and Dany N’Guessan are all attempting strikes on goal every 30 minutes or less. By contrast, Paul Gallagher has spent 96 minutes on the pitch in league games and hasn’t recorded a single shot. Matty Fryatt (one of five attempts on target) still seems rusty, but Andy King with two goals from four attempts is looking deadly.

But despite talk of goals, this fixture hasn’t produce that many over the years. The last four meetings between Leicester and Cardiff at the Walkers stadium have produced just two goals, and Cardiff have only scored four goals in their last six visits to the Walkers. Recent form, however, suggests those records aren’t going to be reliable indicators to the result.

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