When you’re desperate for a win most Leicester fans wouldn’t Pick Carrow Road as the place they’d most like to visit. Indeed, not since 1995 when Emile Heskey scored his first ever professional goal have Leicester enjoyed a win in Norfolk. But perhaps there are statistics which could lead Leicester fans to feel a little more confident than recent visits to Norwich might otherwise suggest.
What made Friday’s defeat so depressing (apart from the six goals) was the inevitability of what unfolded. City conceded first for the seventh time in eight league matches and, following the dismissal of Miguel Vitor, found themselves behind at half time.
No other Championship side has gone in behind at the break on more than four occasions. Leicester’s first half record reads P8 W0 D1 L7 F0 A10. Worse still, Championship sides with half-time leads rarely let them slip. Of the 323 matches in 2009/10 where one side had a half-time advantage, their opponents came back to win only 13 times.
So to build towards a positive result, City need to ensure that they reach half-time at least on level terms. If the Foxes find themselves chasing the game again there is a real concern that heads could drop.
Thankfully their opponents haven’t been the quickest out of the blocks on matchday either. Norwich’s fastest league goal of the season was in the 42nd minute and the Canaries have yet to take a lead into the half-time interval.
Paul Lambert’s side have also just been hit by an upset. Hull’s victory at Carrow Road not only ended the Tigers’ miserable away record but was also the first time that Norwich failed to score in a league game this season.
This will be pleasing news to Paulo Sousa’s porous backline. Last season Leicester’s defence didn’t ship 13 away goals until December. They will doubtless have reviewed the tape to see how Hull stopped what was League One’s most potent attack in 2009/10.
A good bet would be for late drama. Norwich have scored four of their 10 league goals in the final five minutes, and conceded four of 10 in the last 10 minutes. For Paulo Sousa’s sake one has to hope that City will be the beneficiaries of a late decider.