For both these sides the playoff dream has fallen by the wayside in recent weeks. City and Watford have won one, drawn two and lost three of their last six matches. They find themselves in mid-table with little more to play for than pride.
In a game with such modest stakes the best you can hope for is goals. Thankfully this match offers the prospect of a bucketful. Watford’s league matches have contained 136 goals this season and Leicester’s 133. These are the second and third highest totals in the Championship respectively. No Championship side has scored more away goals than Watford (35) and Leicester are hardly shy at home with 40 league goals to their name.
Part of what has made Watford (who, let’s not forget, were being tipped for relegation at the start of the season) so successful has been their chance conversion rate. On average, the Hornets score a goal once in every six attempts. It is the best record in the Championship. The ruthless Danny Graham has undoubtedly been a major factor in this excellent record leading the division as he does with 24 league goals this season, whilst midfielder Don Cowie (13) is bettered only by Adel Taarabt in terms of assists.
Leicester have been much improved in front of goal since the start of the campaign. They now average a goal for every 8.2 attempts, which is far superior to the goal every 13.3 efforts they managed under Paulo Sousa. No fewer than 18 different players have netted for City in the Championship this season – five more than in 2009/10.
If you’re wondering which way this match will go it is worth pointing out that despite the many goals Watford have only managed two away wins in the Championship this year. Further still they have dropped 31 points from winning positions this season, only Preston North End (32) have thrown away more.
I’ve always had a soft spot for Watford. The first match I ever saw was Leicester’s 4-4 draw with the Hornets on a crisp Boxing Day in 1993. With both teams full of goals this season, perhaps we’ll see another high-scoring encounter.