If Leicester fans thought this would be a meaningless game at the start of the season, it was because we imagined promotion would have already been sealed. Few would have guessed the only issue at stake here would be whether Leicester finish as high as 9th, or as low as 14th.
Leeds too expected more from their campaign, but neither side has been in the playoffs this year, and Leicester will end the season having spent just 72 hours in the top six. For the most part this has been due to already well documented inconsistency. Leicester will end the campaign having won no more than two games in succession, having drawn no more than two games in succession and having lost no more than two games in succession. To the outsider 2011/12 might look like an elaborate (and expensive) tease.
Neither side heads to the final day in good form. The Whites have won just one match in six, having failed to score in four of those games. Nigel Pearson challenged his squad to win the final six matches. The Foxes won two, but are now without a win in three.
Leeds’ home form should give Leicester fans some hope of a final day win. Only Nottingham Forest (12) have lost more matches on their own turf this season than Leeds (10). The Whites haven’t kept a clean sheet in front of their own fans in 12 attempts and have conceded more goals at home (39) than any other Championship side.
Leicester have a decent recent record at Elland Road too. Sven-Goran Eriksson secured his first win as Leicester boss here, and the Foxes have taken seven points in nine from their last three visits in the League. Even Paulo Sousa’s side won a Carling Cup game here in 2010.
But City should beware of a single goal lead. Leeds have won 24 points from losing positions this season, only Blackpool have taken more. This is mostly due to the staggering proportion of Leeds United goals that have arrived in the last five minutes, no fewer than 20%. The season might already be over, but the dying minutes of this one could still prove very interesting.